{"id":11582,"date":"2021-06-07T08:31:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-07T06:31:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/armadilla.coop\/?p=11582"},"modified":"2021-06-09T08:34:33","modified_gmt":"2021-06-09T06:34:33","slug":"lebanon-is-a-ticking-time-bomb-the-world-cannot-afford-to-ignore","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/armadilla.coop\/en\/lebanon-is-a-ticking-time-bomb-the-world-cannot-afford-to-ignore\/","title":{"rendered":"Lebanon is a ticking time bomb the world cannot afford to ignore"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

by Marco Carnelos. Originally published on Middle East Eye<\/a> on June, 1st<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The world ignored Israel-Palestine. With G7 leaders meeting in a matter of weeks, they cannot afford the same mistake with Lebanon<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Scholars and pundits familiar with the complexity of the Israel-Palestine conflict, and not resigned to the mainstream narrative about its root causes and possible solutions, have always known that the so-called\u00a0Abraham Accords\u00a0were not going to promote peace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Agreements signed by leaderships that are detached from reality – and concerned primarily with protecting the interests of one side, to the detriment of the other – will not provide a fair and lasting solution to a decades-old fight. Any deal that ignores people\u2019s aspirations, international law and the basic principle of “no peace without justice”\u00a0is destined to suffer blowback. In recent weeks, this is precisely what has occurred.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A bomb was clearly ticking, and almost all of the major international stakeholders\u00a0refused to listen. The bomb has since exploded, with unprecedentedly bitter consequences – namely, the\u00a0revolt of Palestinian citizens\u00a0of Israel. The full implications of this are still unknown. The Gaza\u00a0ceasefire\u00a0just reached is not a prelude to a fair and lasting peace; it is merely a pause.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this context, G7 members – who aspire to reaffirm and lead the rules-based world order, which is\u00a0allegedly threatened\u00a0by rising and dangerous autocracies – have lost another occasion to prove their credibility. During the G7 foreign ministers\u2019 meeting in early May, as the Israel-Palestine bomb was already ticking loudly, they displayed their unforgivable obliviousness with a\u00a0communique\u00a0covering all the various hotspots on the planet, but not\u00a0Israel-Palestine.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With this discomforting precedent in place, our first concern should be to guess the location of the next ticking bomb. This is not difficult.\u00a0We merely need to check where\u00a0else was omitted by the G7 ministers:\u00a0Lebanon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deafening silence<\/h4>\n\n\n\n

While the world\u2019s attention has been focused in recent weeks on the\u00a0evictions\u00a0of Palestinians in occupied East Jerusalem, Israel\u2019s assaults on\u00a0al-Aqsa Mosque, the launching of rockets from\u00a0Gaza\u00a0and Israel\u2019s subsequent bombing campaign, Lebanon has continued to slide towards the abyss.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The\u00a0political paralysis\u00a0in forming a new government,\u00a0financial collapse\u00a0and dramatic\u00a0increase in poverty\u00a0should have triggered more than alarm bells among the main American, European and Arab chancelleries. Instead, there has been a deafening and unforgivable silence, as these countries seemingly ignore the fact that Lebanon also hosts\u00a0hundreds of thousands\u00a0of Syrian and Palestinian refugees. If the state collapses, these refugees could not return to their original homes in Syria and Palestine; rather, they would likely head towards Europe.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the meantime, Lebanese political discourse has been characterised by Foreign Minister Charbel Wehbe\u00a0insulting\u00a0Saudi Arabia (he was subsequently forced to step down). Although Saudi politics towards Lebanon have been highly patronising for decades, Riyadh has also\u00a0provided aid\u00a0far exceeding that granted by international financial institutions. If Lebanon has any chance to recover from its current situation, it cannot easily ignore the financial lifeline that Saudi Arabia has to offer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lebanon will not save itself by pointing fingers at its neighbours or traditional partners, but rather by mobilising them to act collectively as a permanent consultative mechanism, overseeing and supporting the political shock therapy that the country needs. In the meantime, Lebanon\u2019s public prosecutor has\u00a0opened\u00a0an investigation into central bank governor Riad Salameh, one of the alleged architects of Lebanon\u2019s financial collapse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Turning a page<\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Since the massive\u00a0explosion in Beirut\u00a0last year, France has assumed a leadership role in an effort to help Lebanon turn the page on its troubled recent history. President Emmanuel Macron\u00a0visited the country twice\u00a0and talked tough as he advocated fundamental change. Nothing much has happened.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For too long, Paris has bizarrely believed that such change\u00a0could be provided\u00a0by one of the main people responsible for Lebanon\u2019s catastrophe: Prime Minister Saad Hariri. Notwithstanding some die-hard Hariri supporters inside the Elysee, France is now slowly realising that he is a liability – yet, it appears unready to support other options for the premiership within the composite Lebanese Sunni community and, above all, to think outside of the box. Both the French president and his foreign minister, who visited Lebanon several times in the past few months,\u00a0have mainly consulted with\u00a0the traditional political figures, who are not ideally placed to promote the reforms the country so much needs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The benchmarks to identify the proper personality to lead Lebanon out of its current impasse should not be how many traditional political blocs and MPs are ready to support them; otherwise, the candidate will not be a real reformer. The key will be their political history and the reforms they are advocating.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lebanon needs someone outside of the country\u2019s traditional political blocs; independent, with no business interests inside the country; and above all, untouched by the past corrupt policies that have brought Lebanon to the brink of the abyss. This candidate should be able to inspire Lebanon\u2019s exhausted public, while being viewed cautiously by its entrenched and blind parliamentarians.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Will the international community for once act pre-emptively, before a new crisis erupts, and support alternative methods to defuse another Middle Eastern ticking time bomb? It seems unlikely that the G7 leaders meeting later this month will do any such thing. Lebanon’s ticking time bomb is set to go off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The world ignored Israel-Palestine. With G7 leaders meeting in a matter of weeks, they cannot afford the same mistake with Lebanon […]<\/p>\n

Read More… from Lebanon is a ticking time bomb the world cannot afford to ignore<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11578,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"give_campaign_id":0,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-11582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-syria-and-lebanon-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nLebanon is a ticking time bomb the world cannot afford to ignore - Armadilla \u2013 Cooperazione internazionale, community welfare<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The world ignored Israel-Palestine. 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